December ice

Lake ice fractures

Photo: Jeff Miller. UW-Madison, University Communications, © Board of Regents of the University of Wisconsin System

Here is a Phenological phenomena news flash: ice is forming on lakes and rivers. You heard it here first. So, how fast does ice form? Once the first layer of ice forms on a lake, the rate of growth is primarily dependent on the air temperature, but wind and the presence or absence of snow on the existing ice layer also impact its development. If there is currently 1/2 of ice, the ice will grow at a rate of approximately 1 inch per 15 freezing degree days (FDD). FDDs are the average number of degrees below freezing over a 24 hour period. Ice actually forms faster when there is a breeze, at least for ice less than 3 thick. In order for ice to grow thicker, it must dissipate 80 calories per gram of water. The moving air helps to dissipate the heat. Once the ice is over 3 thick, wind is less of a factor. Conduction is then the most important factor. Please remember that ice is never 100% safe.

To learn more about ice and its formation, visit lakeice.squarespace.com/ice-formation.

The Minnesota Department of Natural Resources also has some very good resources on ice safety.

Upcoming Events

August 13 through October 31, 2026
Throughout St. Paul
Tuesday, September 1, 2026 - 8:00pm to 9:30pm
TPT, Twin Cities PBS
Thursday, September 10, 2026 - 5:00pm to 7:00pm
Near the Mississippi River backwaters, St. Paul Park

Take Me to the River 

Celebrate the Mississippi River and choose your own adventure while supporting FMR at our reimagined fall fundraiser on Thursday, Sept. 24.