Spring flood risk downgraded

The National Weather Service (NWS) recently downgraded the risk of severe flooding for Minnesotas rivers. Dry weather and a slow thaw have combined to lessen the likelihood of record flood crests. However, conditions are still ripe for high water in some areas.

According to the forecast: "Above normal rainfall early in the fall, combined with snowfall that was much above normal for the period from December through mid-February, has led to the potential for significant flooding along many rivers in Minnesota."

In St. Paul, the NWS predicts a 60 percent chance that Warner Road may be impassable and a 61 percent probability that Harriet Island will be submerged. The probability of a record flood where the Mississippi would swell to 1965s record flood level of 26.01 feet has decreased to 8 percent.

For more on the flood forecast, please visit the National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office.

— Whitney Clark, Executive Director

Upcoming Events

Saturday, May 16, 2026 - 10:00am to 12:00pm
Along a Mississippi River backchannel, Otsego
Wednesday, May 20, 2026 - 6:00pm to 8:00pm
Nicollet Island, Minneapolis
Thursday, May 21, 2026 - 6:00pm to 8:00pm
Pine Bend Bluffs Scientific and Natural Area, Inver Grove Heights

Join us for Music for the Mississippi River 

Celebrate the Mississippi River and support FMR with Tina Schlieske and Molly Maher, May 30 at Dual Citizen Brewing in St. Paul.