Spring flood risk downgraded

The National Weather Service (NWS) recently downgraded the risk of severe flooding for Minnesotas rivers. Dry weather and a slow thaw have combined to lessen the likelihood of record flood crests. However, conditions are still ripe for high water in some areas.

According to the forecast: "Above normal rainfall early in the fall, combined with snowfall that was much above normal for the period from December through mid-February, has led to the potential for significant flooding along many rivers in Minnesota."

In St. Paul, the NWS predicts a 60 percent chance that Warner Road may be impassable and a 61 percent probability that Harriet Island will be submerged. The probability of a record flood where the Mississippi would swell to 1965s record flood level of 26.01 feet has decreased to 8 percent.

For more on the flood forecast, please visit the National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office.

— Whitney Clark, Executive Director

Upcoming Events

August 13 through October 31, 2026
Throughout St. Paul
Tuesday, September 1, 2026 - 8:00pm to 9:30pm
TPT, Twin Cities PBS
Thursday, September 10, 2026 - 5:00pm to 7:00pm
Near the Mississippi River backwaters, St. Paul Park

Take Me to the River 

Celebrate the Mississippi River and choose your own adventure while supporting FMR at our reimagined fall fundraiser on Thursday, Sept. 24.